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Euro CLOs have better 2023 entry point than US in $140 billion issuance year: Barclays
1 year ago
CLO performance and issuance may have to wait until the second half of next year for improvement, say Barclays credit strategists in a 2023 outlook piece. But Europe could fare better than the US given starting levels in a year the market faces some challenging regulatory hurdles -
Sofr away from me – basis puts new CLO triple As in dire straits
1 year ago
A relative value gap has opened between secondary and primary market CLO triple A tranches, with the former looking attractive as volatility heightens and the basis grows between Libor and Sofr. This presents an additional problem for managers hoping to do new business -
Credit investors find bright spots in gloomy outlook: Credit Rendezvous Q4 2022
1 year ago
Clouds are looming over financial markets as the fourth quarter begins — so investors are moving away from diversified approaches in favour of tailored investments and relative value plays -
Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
1 year ago
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found -
Short duration CLOs are putting reset risk in the post: Barclays
1 year ago
The CLO market’s recent trend of shorter duration issuance could be setting up a problem for managers down the line that will impact their equity returns, Barclays has warned -
Euro double As and US triple As offer best value in CLOs: BNP Paribas
1 year ago
Secondary market double A rated tranches offer the best relative value in European CLOs’ capital structures, while US triple As in primary starting to look attractive, according to BNP Paribas credit strategists -
CLO spreads are not pricing in recession: JP Morgan
1 year ago
CLOs are priced fairly for a growth slowdown but not a recession, according to JP Morgan credit strategists, who warn spreads are at risk if US growth contracts -
Manager selection stakes are heightening as CLO pain points intensify: Barclays
1 year ago
CLOs’ slump in market value and piling of distressed assets have made differentiation between managers much more acute on key metrics, regionally and by vintage, according to Barclays credit strategists -
Credit Rendezvous: Pass masters
1 year ago
Most often, a credit market downturn has its roots mired in one big, blatant obstacle that credit managers have to focus their attention to overcome. But right now, it’s not the dominant risk factor that has to be defeated, it’s the sheer number of them... -
CLO extremes will do well in '22 but mezz needs caution: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
The extreme parts of CLOs' capital structures will offer best value in 2022, but investors should be cautious on mezzanine tranches and consider hedges, say BNP Paribas strategists -
CLO lower cap stack will outperform with $175bn new issuance in 2022: JP Morgan
2 years ago
Equity and lower rated tranche investors will do best as $175 billion of global new CLO issuance arrives in 2022, predict JP Morgan strategists in their annual outlook, taking market size to $1.2 trillion -
Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook -
CLO issuance set for big slump as managers relax on Sofr: JP Morgan
2 years ago
CLO new issue supply will likely decline sharply from this month to next, with the rush to complete deals ahead of the transition to Sofr base rates having added to November's historical heavy weighting over December, say JP Morgan structured credit strategists -
Sofr transition timing puts CLO debt and equity at odds, says BNP Paribas
2 years ago
CLO investors look to have tough conversations ahead on the structure implications of the transition from Libor to Sofr, with BNP Paribas strategists noting CLO debt will benefit from an early move while equity tranches would do better to wait -
Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
2 years ago
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives. -
Managers brave covid-hit sectors to drum up returns
3 years ago
Price dislocations among companies operating in industries affected by covid-19 mean they may offer some of the best opportunities for CLO managers and CSO investors — and sources say that neglecting these sectors could hurt performance -
Credit Rendezvous: record fiscal stimulus provides pick-me-up
3 years ago
Credit markets had a mini bounce-back in the second quarter as central banks poured cash into the economy. But there is great uncertainty about the effects of a second wave of coronavirus. As part of our quarterly report on credit - the Credit Rendezvous - Creditflux spoke to experts across 12 segments of the credit market -
Where are the gloating I-told-you-so columnists who claimed CLOs would bring global destruction?
3 years ago
We have seen a measured response to the coronavirus crisis: fund managers aren’t collapsing and investors are not shunning CLOs -
CSO arrangers take notes from success of CLOs
4 years ago
CSO arrangers are looking to follow the CLO template in more ways than one, with sources indicating that some dealers are looking to structure their deals in note format (as opposed to swaps). -
It may seem a bit rich for Welshcake to tell staid CLO investors they need to be more sensible
4 years ago
Bespokes are the next big thing — and you’d be wise to get involved -
CLO investors should be looking at CSOs
At Creditflux’s Credit Dimensions event in New York, structured credit investors were told how synthetic CDOs fit neatly alongside CLOs, and there is no need to pick one over the other4 years ago -
Arrival of five-year bespokes draws in CLO investors
4 years ago
Synthetic bespoke tranches are undergoing a major shift, with dealers projecting five-year business to supersede previously dominant shorter tenors by the end of 2019. -
Bespoke gains pull CLO buyers as market tipped to hit $100bn
5 years ago
Synthetic bespoke issuance could catch up with the more visible CLO market this year, say structured credit specialists -
CLO monoline businesses return with new purpose
5 years ago
CLO tranche insurance is making a comeback. Assured Guaranty has underwritten two middle market transactions, while in Europe various firms are testing the waters for this type of insurance, according to sources. -
The Last Tranche: Podcast episode 1
5 years ago
Creditflux takes on Las Vegas, b-wics and Welshcake, among other credit topics in the inaugural episode of the Last Tranche podcast
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