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Credit retreats from wides, but worrisome test levels remain in view
1 year ago
Another rocky week for markets is ending with credit finding a firmer tone. But big questions remain unanswered about relative value and the levels some sectors could test -
Post-Fed volatility prompts stark reassessment of credit relative value
2 years ago
Central bank policy moves have caught markets off-guard, with volatility ensuing and spreads hitting new wides -
High yield / loan slowdown affects year-end projections and pricing: Barclays
2 years ago
A sharp decline in primary market activity means expectations for high yield bond and even leveraged loan issuance need to be lowered, say Barclays credit strategists. And that in turn has implications for relative value -
Volatility has teed up decompression trades: Barclays
2 years ago
Recent credit market turbulence has brought relative value trading opportunities between cash bonds and CDS, credit and equity as well as between investment grade and high yield, particularly in Europe -
Credit awash with volatility in first week but investors load up
2 years ago
It has been a volatile opening week to the year for credit, but one in which investors have allocated bullishly to credit funds -
Euro bonds set to outperform US despite big fund outflows: BofA
2 years ago
The November credit crash has left Euro investment grade bonds wider than those in the US, a rare occurrence that sets the scene for a January rally, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook -
Slow and sustainable trades will win race in '22: BofA
2 years ago
A year on from the US presidential election and unveiling of covid-19 vaccines, the credit compression looks challenged. But 'laggards' and sectors with strong capex growth still hold promise -
Credit bull run falters as central bank glow abates
2 years ago
Thoughts that the credit market had taken a positive directional shift are turning, after Tuesday’s session has brought a sizeable retracement wider, but credit strategists predict an overall firming of tone into the end of the year off the back of dovish central bank meetings -
Europe dominates ESG issuance, but US is racing to catch up: BofA
2 years ago
The stark gap between European and other regions in issuing ESG bonds has been thrown into the spotlight by last week’s COP26 summit. Nevertheless, encouraging data suggests the US is accelerating fast in its drive to bridge the gulf, finds Bank of America -
It's a-live! AI platform launch puts US ratings in spotlight
2 years ago
RoboR8, a fintech platform that aims to democratise credit ratings through artificial intelligence, has launched and hopes to rate 50,000 companies by the end of December, before building to several million in 2022. -
There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Long duration high yield will overcome short-term rates carnage, says BofA
2 years ago
Bonds with inflation-protected real yield, longer duration, and especially those in the utilities sector are among the most compelling trades amid a phase of ‘policy paranoia’, according to Bank of America credit strategists -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
2 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
Rising stars will fuel double B boom, says BofA
2 years ago
A rising star cycle is underway and adds to a bullish outlook for double B credits with company results pointing to an ‘epic V-shaped recovery’ in high yield revenues and earnings, say Bank of America credit strategists -
CLO demand to drive loan outperformance over bonds: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
The buying power of CLOs and funds could mean leveraged loans rally further and outpace high yield bonds, says BNP Paribas' credit research team -
Corp hybrid popularity mounts, but strategist outlooks diverge
3 years ago
Corporate hybrid bonds are becoming a focal point for investors in the second quarter, with one bank's credit strategy team making them a top pick to trade spread compression while another's has expressed caution on their likely performance -
Yield rise is buying signal for bonds, says BNP Paribas
3 years ago
Credit spreads are set to hit new cyclical tights in the coming months, with the recent rise in yields having offered an attractive entry point especially for high-rated bonds, say BNP Paribas credit strategists -
Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists -
Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend -
Robots rise for credit ratings
3 years ago
A fintech platform is launching this month that aims to use artificial intelligence to democratise credit ratings. -
Governance has greatest impact on short-term changes in company valuation out of ESG factors, finds MSCI
3 years ago
Governance has more impact than environmental and social factors on company financial fundamentals and stock price in the short term, but ‘E’ and ‘S’ play their part over the long term, according to analysis from MSCI -
Investors increasingly see ESG as fiduciary duty, State Street survey reveals
4 years ago
North American investors are most likely to view ESG as a fiduciary duty, while European investors are driven by regulation, performance and reputational risk, according to results from a survey conducted by State Street Global Advisors -
Boeing/Airbus dogfight widens spreads as WTO ruling exposes Europe's trade weaknesses
4 years ago
The World Trade Organisation’s go-ahead for the US to impose $7.5 billion of tariffs on imports from the EU has sent credit spreads sharply wider. And, according to latest credit research from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, it exposes Europe’s “Achilles heel” -
Political risk puts December in focus as CDS investors play index volatility
4 years ago
Selling implied volatility has been prominent among CDS investors since last month’s iTraxx and CDX index rolls, says BNP Paribas in a research piece, with December a popular point of focus for trades
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