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"Forget the World Cup, the macro-economic catastrophe cup has more well-matched contenders"
1 year ago
Government bonds are rallying in some quarters, but the odds are on more stress feeding into credit -
"Kwasi Kwarteng’s ‘mini budget’ will be remembered like a forklift truck disaster video"
1 year ago
Welshcake sees the funny side as bunga bunga returns -
"If anything is to be salvaged from the rest of 2022, the economy needs a hero — and quickly"
1 year ago
Something has gotta give as a recession looms in the US. Might it be energy? -
Real estate is about to get real bad: Welshcake
1 year ago
The extent of disconnect between real estate and what other markets have been experiencing is enough to convince me a whole other layer of economic mayhem is on the way. But investors in credit, for all their current pain, could still end up shining if they are prepared -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
1 year ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
"It’ll take something special to drag my attention away from Depp/Heard, but Jerome Powell could just do it"
1 year ago
It’s not easy letting go of the past, but May heralds the start of something new in credit -
"Faltering oil supply is lamentable at a time of strategic and moral shortfall"
2 years ago
We need to accept the pain and cut dependence on Russian oil today -
"Europe undermines itself through fossil fuel addiction while the UK baulks at expunging oligarchs"
2 years ago
Russia’s actions in Ukraine are deeply troubling, but there is hope for the future -
From one nation of yellow flowers to another: we are with you
2 years ago
It is Saint David's Day, the biggest day in the Welsh calendar. Today it is not a celebration but a call to action -
"Credit investors should interpret 100,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border as worth pricing in"
2 years ago
Welshcake tells credit portfolio managers to under-promise and over-deliver in 2022 -
"In 2022, being slow will not be such a bad thing"
2 years ago
St David losing its place as the UK’s smallest city would be a travesty. Replacing Libor might be worse -
"No-one talks about the part oil price surges played in the 2008/9 global financial crisis"
2 years ago
Investors eyeing inflation shocks and supply chain disruption should instead be paying attention to the brewing energy crisis -
“For Creditflux this will be an extra special occasion - the publication is marking its 20th year in business”
2 years ago
A colourful train journey featuring Alice in Wonderland, Yoda and Top Trumps puts Welshcake in mind of the CLO Symposium -
"Pain is on the way: spreads are too tight, while compression and carry are done. But what if it's not?"
2 years ago
Welshcake reminds us that mid-cycle portfolio management is a funny old game -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
2 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
"If we have to rely on top-down global political coordination we are all doomed"
3 years ago
ESG can’t be dictated to us by authorities. It’s a way of life -
CLO guys shouldn't feel quite as self-important as us Welsh... But you are in a pretty amazing spot
3 years ago
CLO portfolio managers should be emboldened by recent events to push for ESG strategies -
Cessation of activity mid-December is an opportunity to switch off… and let the mind wander
3 years ago
Welshcake is grateful for a lull in credit markets. The downtime has inspired him to dream up a CLO play -
I foresee various spooky spectacles hitting our screens - and your long portfolios
3 years ago
Welshcake is settling in for a horror movie marathon. But in the previews he sees monsters lurking behind tight credit spreads -
Questions will need answering about where a manager's fiduciary responsibility lies
3 years ago
A university lecturer gives Welshcake a shock with a CLO presentation that points to shady trading games -
They should have followed Revlon's Double Twist mascara slogan of 2009: "It's worth a double take"
3 years ago
Blockchain might not eradicate all problems in credit, but it should reduce human error -
The surge in index tranche trading has resulted in a deep, liquid and nuanced set of market dynamics
3 years ago
Welshcake emerges from his bunker to find CLOs still standing and the CSO market getting back to business -
2020 is a massive opportunity for change - and clinging to past achievements won't wash
3 years ago
Statues don’t serve much of a purpose. It’s time to move on — and credit investors can and should be part of the movement -
I take strength from the composure investors have shown when told their payments are being deferred
3 years ago
It’s tempting to head to the beach or grab a CLO distribution, but investing is all about playing the long game -
Where are the gloating I-told-you-so columnists who claimed CLOs would bring global destruction?
3 years ago
We have seen a measured response to the coronavirus crisis: fund managers aren’t collapsing and investors are not shunning CLOs
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