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IACPM survey finds credit PMs still gloomy, but less so than last quarter
13 days ago
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey are still negative about future credit conditions, but less so than in previous surveys -
Global Loan Highlights 1Q24: Don’t call it a comeback
28 days ago
Loan refinancing share hits historic high, but IG issuance stymies YoY global growth -
Barclays raises 2024 US BSL CLO new issue forecast
1 month ago
Barclays has become the latest bank research desk to increase its 2024 US BSL CLO new issue forecast -
How many CLOs will be reset?
1 month ago
Tightening liability spreads aren’t just driving record new CLO issuance this year — they’re also triggering a wave of resets and refinancings in the US, especially for broadly syndicated CLOs -
European CLO equity distributions keep getting better, US keep getting worse
1 month ago
The latest distributions for post-reinvestment US CLOs show the impact of rapid prepayment rates, but post-reinvestment European CLOs are bucking that trend and seem to be improving with age. -
Fresh wave of CLO calls looms as US equity distributions drop
2 months ago
Equity distributions for US CLOs outside their reinvestment period continue to fall as prepayments cut into cashflows -
European CLO primary spreads still have a long way to go
2 months ago
Are European CLO spreads in the primary market cheap or expensive? Our latest research shows that while US managers can celebrate AAAs reaching the 150s, in Europe spreads still have a long way to go to reach historical norms. -
Credit PMs remain gloomy in latest IACPM survey
3 months ago
Survey participants in the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey believe the euphoria seen in global financial markets during the last few months of 2023 was overdone -
New research says that CLO arb is better than you think, but still not good enough
3 months ago
New research by Barclays’ Powell Eddins and Pranava Boyidapu suggests that CLO arbitrage is in a better place than many investors think, but that BBs are still more attractive -
Is direct lending on the rebound? - Debtwire Special Report
4 months ago
After a slow start in 2023, direct lending in both the US and Europe has been on the rise, with volumes in Q3 almost doubling compared to the previous quarter -
Credit PMs predict global recession
6 months ago
Respondents to the latest IACPM credit outlook survey were feeling particularly gloomy, with a strong majority predicting recessions in both the US and Europe next year -
Loan Highlights 3Q23: Loan volumes remain significantly lower than historical averages
6 months ago
Capital markets loan activity continued to struggle in the third quarter of 2023, as issuers in the Americas and Europe held off from tapping markets -
European CLOs win out against US deals
6 months ago
Last month, our analysis explored the performance of US CLOs that were previously reset. We found that they delivered higher distributions than deals which weren’t reset, with the exception of the 2017 and 2018 vintages (Creditflux September 2023 — Do resets help CLOs perform better?). This article expands that analysis to the European market, and compares the performance of US BSL and EU CLO equity tranches. -
New IACPM survey points to a global recession
9 months ago
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly expect global economies to fall into recession either later this year or sometime in 2024. -
High yield bond index offers opportunities for credit pickers
9 months ago
The global high yield bond market has become a skewed barbell offering benefits to credit pickers, according to a new research note from global asset manager Ninety One. -
34% of CLOs rated by Fitch out of reinvestment
10 months ago
34% of the CLOs rated by Fitch Ratings have left their reinvestment periods including six deals that exited in May, the rating agency said in a note to clients on Thursday -
Largarde snowballs puncture complacent calm and shocks spreads wider
1 year ago
Credit markets are ending the week on a big push wider, after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde delivered the surprise that had been missing from other central bank messaging -
Major fund withdrawals undermine credit momentum
1 year ago
Credit funds are extending their run of inflows into the end of the year, but investment grade momentum took a dent last week due to investors in one big fund pulling their money -
Capex and real yields will split winners from losers in '23: BofA
1 year ago
Companies able to undertake capital expenditure will be the winners in 2023, while those historically most sensitive to rising real yields should inspire caution, say Bank of America strategists -
Rebuke for optimism as US jobs send market bulls running for cover
1 year ago
Investors’ determination to maintain an optimistic outlook on US Federal Reserve policy hit a point of reckoning on Friday, with hot US jobs numbers adding weight to committee members’ message that there is still a lot more work for them to do -
Euro CLOs have better 2023 entry point than US in $140 billion issuance year: Barclays
1 year ago
CLO performance and issuance may have to wait until the second half of next year for improvement, say Barclays credit strategists in a 2023 outlook piece. But Europe could fare better than the US given starting levels in a year the market faces some challenging regulatory hurdles -
Powell outlook brings risk buyers out in droves, but reality check looks soon to follow
1 year ago
Comments by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday on the pace of future rate hikes have prompted a sharp rally across global financial markets, including credit. But dissenting voices have already begun to point out the enthusiasm is likely overdone -
Credit Suisse tests investor nerves as market preps for Fed-focused week
1 year ago
Credit Suisse, which has been subjected to another week of intense scrutiny, is heading into the weekend with its credit spreads extending wider, after warning on losses and undertaking a capital hike -
Swiss bank looks to plug holes but investors are hun-gruyere for risk
1 year ago
Credit Suisse is a rare, worrisome cloud in an otherwise brightening sky this week, as Europe extends its tightening trend in credit with the US standing at ease for the Thanksgiving holiday -
Outsized corporate rally puts financials RV in focus
1 year ago
The week is ending with resumption of credit’s recent rally after a brief pause, and Europe once again taking the lead over the US
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