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Global Loan Highlights 1Q24: Don’t call it a comeback
19 hours ago
Loan refinancing share hits historic high, but IG issuance stymies YoY global growth -
Credit PMs remain gloomy in latest IACPM survey
2 months ago
Survey participants in the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey believe the euphoria seen in global financial markets during the last few months of 2023 was overdone -
Loan Highlights 3Q23: Loan volumes remain significantly lower than historical averages
5 months ago
Capital markets loan activity continued to struggle in the third quarter of 2023, as issuers in the Americas and Europe held off from tapping markets -
34% of CLOs rated by Fitch out of reinvestment
9 months ago
34% of the CLOs rated by Fitch Ratings have left their reinvestment periods including six deals that exited in May, the rating agency said in a note to clients on Thursday -
Private equity firms are becoming CLO converts: TwentyFour
1 year ago
Private equity firms have increasingly bought CLO and other securitised debt tranches in recent weeks instead of their usual preference for physical assets - a trade TwentyFour believes "makes perfect sense" -
Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
1 year ago
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found -
Short duration CLOs are putting reset risk in the post: Barclays
1 year ago
The CLO market’s recent trend of shorter duration issuance could be setting up a problem for managers down the line that will impact their equity returns, Barclays has warned -
UBS says modelling suggests upcoming recession won’t bite
1 year ago
Likely global recession scenarios look mild according to strategists at UBS, who have run four models. -
Euro loans with FX hedging offer better value than US: Barclays
1 year ago
The big underperformance of European loans in June has left them looking cheap versus those in the US – but FX hedging and a nuanced selection process are advisable for investors looking to take advantage of that -
Manager selection stakes are heightening as CLO pain points intensify: Barclays
1 year ago
CLOs’ slump in market value and piling of distressed assets have made differentiation between managers much more acute on key metrics, regionally and by vintage, according to Barclays credit strategists -
CLO investors show more signs of optimism than other ABS: Barclays
1 year ago
CLO investors attending the Global ABS conference in Barcelona were more upbeat than those that work in residential mortgage-backed securities and other ABS, say Barclays securitised credit strategists. But the overall mood was sombre -
High yield / loan slowdown affects year-end projections and pricing: Barclays
1 year ago
A sharp decline in primary market activity means expectations for high yield bond and even leveraged loan issuance need to be lowered, say Barclays credit strategists. And that in turn has implications for relative value -
CLOs look attractive after corporate rally - but not all tranches: Barclays
1 year ago
Rallying corporate cash credit spreads over the past two weeks have widened the basis with CLOs and made these products look attractive again, according to Barclays strategists -
Hidden loan tail risks and mounting single B exposure could pose problem for CLOs: Barclays
1 year ago
A solid rally for leveraged loans this week - against returning weakness in bonds - has put focus back on the market, which seemingly has little tail risk priced in. But short term support factors and a dwindling triple C bucket mask the quality skew, warn Barclays strategists in a note today - which could spell downgrades for single-B minus rated loans -
CLO equity could get hurt by mismatch in credit spread adjustments: Barclays
2 years ago
The possibility that borrowers and sponsors start to use their clout to scrap credit spread adjustments from leveraged loans poses a risk for new CLO equity, while legacy deals also face transition challenges -
CLO lower cap stack will outperform with $175bn new issuance in 2022: JP Morgan
2 years ago
Equity and lower rated tranche investors will do best as $175 billion of global new CLO issuance arrives in 2022, predict JP Morgan strategists in their annual outlook, taking market size to $1.2 trillion -
Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook -
Sofr transition timing puts CLO debt and equity at odds, says BNP Paribas
2 years ago
CLO investors look to have tough conversations ahead on the structure implications of the transition from Libor to Sofr, with BNP Paribas strategists noting CLO debt will benefit from an early move while equity tranches would do better to wait -
There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
2 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
CLO demand to drive loan outperformance over bonds: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
The buying power of CLOs and funds could mean leveraged loans rally further and outpace high yield bonds, says BNP Paribas' credit research team -
ESG drive poses little threat to CLO returns or flexibility, says Moody's
2 years ago
Environmental, social and governance investment criteria are not impairing CLOs either in flexibility or performance, Moody's Investors Service has found in a new report -
CLO investors still hungry for triple As and double Bs, says JP Morgan
2 years ago
Most CLO investors are looking to add risk through deals in the months ahead, with very few inclined to reduce exposure, a JP Morgan survey has found - despite the historic flood of issuance in the first quarter of this year -
Governance has greatest impact on short-term changes in company valuation out of ESG factors, finds MSCI
3 years ago
Governance has more impact than environmental and social factors on company financial fundamentals and stock price in the short term, but ‘E’ and ‘S’ play their part over the long term, according to analysis from MSCI -
Leveraged loan spreads to widen to March levels, warn UBS strategists
3 years ago
US leveraged loan spreads could widen back to March levels of 825 basis points as default risk increases, according to strategists at UBS.
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