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Ratio of CLO managers adding risk falls to lowest level since 2009, JP Morgan finds
4 years ago
The proportion of CLO managers looking to add risk has fallen to its lowest level since 2009, according to a market survey carried out by JP Morgan’s research desk -
CLO 2020 outlook: lower volumes predicted, but it’s not all bad news
4 years ago
US CLO issuance is expected to drop by roughly 20% next year, according to bank research desks. This comes after a solid 2019 in which $101 billion of new US CLOs have priced through 92 managers, as Creditflux goes to press -
Investors increasingly see ESG as fiduciary duty, State Street survey reveals
4 years ago
North American investors are most likely to view ESG as a fiduciary duty, while European investors are driven by regulation, performance and reputational risk, according to results from a survey conducted by State Street Global Advisors -
Central banks may consider ESG-compliant CLO paper, says Moody's
4 years ago
Central banks in Italy, the Netherlands, and France have begun integrating ESG into their investment process, a process which could reduce collateral refinancing risk of ESG compliant securitisations including CLOs, according to Moody’s -
CLO supply set for double-digit drop in 2020, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
US CLO supply in 2020 will be as much as 20% down on 2019, while European issuance will fall 13% year-on-year, predict JP Morgan strategists in a research note. Even so, new CLOs should still outpace existing deal paydowns, as well as high yield primary market net new issuance -
CLOs' risk to Japanese banks 'subdued' despite ratings and mark-to-market risk, says Bank of Japan
4 years ago
The risk to Japanese banks posed by their investments in CLOs is ‘subdued’, according to the Bank of Japan Financial System Report -
Diverging views emerge over performance of ESG investing, RBC survey reveals
4 years ago
Investors which incorporate ESG principles are convinced it adds value, but those who do not are more uncertain, according to a survey by RBC Global Asset Management -
Boeing/Airbus dogfight widens spreads as WTO ruling exposes Europe's trade weaknesses
4 years ago
The World Trade Organisation’s go-ahead for the US to impose $7.5 billion of tariffs on imports from the EU has sent credit spreads sharply wider. And, according to latest credit research from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, it exposes Europe’s “Achilles heel” -
Political risk puts December in focus as CDS investors play index volatility
4 years ago
Selling implied volatility has been prominent among CDS investors since last month’s iTraxx and CDX index rolls, says BNP Paribas in a research piece, with December a popular point of focus for trades -
18% of CLO managers priced their first deals post-January 2018, says Maples
4 years ago
Launching a new CLO management platform is ‘extremely difficult’ although the rewards appear to be worth the risks, according to new research from Maples Group -
Go long CLO triple-A and pick cash bonds over CDS, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
Going long European CLO triple A paper remains one of JP Morgan strategists’ favourite trades following the European Central Bank stimulus announcement last week, despite these tranches having rallied 14bp on average since the bank first backed them. They also predict cash credit to outperform CDS -
Four sectors most favoured by bullish resumption of QE, say BAML strategists
4 years ago
Autos, healthcare, media and real estate bonds are likely to be the biggest initial beneficiaries if the European Central Bank reinvigorates its corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP) next week, say Bank of America Merrill Lynch credit strategists -
Buy iTraxx Europe equity tranche risk but sell Crossover mezz, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
Investors should stick with ‘search for yield’ ideas in investment grade credit, say JP Morgan credit strategists, including selling iTraxx Europe 0-3% equity tranches delta hedged, going long the 10-year Europe index, and selling credit volatility through index options while buying equity market volatility -
Index tranches and Sub Fin basket among top picks after ECB meeting, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
The European Central Bank’s statement that rate cuts will likely be paired with tiered deposit rates suggests a boost for the iTraxx Sub Financials index, as well as tier two and additional tier one bank bonds, says JP Morgan in latest credit research. The bank also advocates selling iTraxx Europe 0-3% tranches delta hedged -
Another 2008 would leave IG CLOs without losses but default rates will climb, says BofE
4 years ago
CLOs will see greater losses in a downturn than they did in the last financial crisis, according to the Bank of England’s Financial Stability Report -
Direct lending challenges in 2019: competition, lack of quality assets and high transaction multiples
5 years ago
Results from Proskauer Rose's survey show these are not putting off 75% of respondents, who are fundraising for a debt fund -
Triple B fightback has begun, says BNP Paribas
5 years ago
Fallen angel risk – the possibility that a wave of triple B credits could be cut by rating agencies to sub-investment grade – should begin to decline, according to strategists at BNP Paribas -
Fourth quarter CLO equity volatility is taste of things to come, says BAML research
5 years ago
CLO equity performance in the fourth quarter of 2018 gave an example of how mark-to-market returns could erase carry returns for investors, Bank of America Merrill Lynch says in its latest research piece -
CLO equity a "top trade" for 2019, but beware ratings risk, says JP Morgan
5 years ago
CLO equity is one of the top trades of 2019, according to research analysts at JP Morgan in a research paper published on Friday, noting that the asset class offers ‘sticky capital in a volatile cycle' -
Credit pickers will win as high yield spreads widen in 2019, predicts Citi
5 years ago
After a volatile 2018 in the credit derivatives market, there are reasons to be optimistic this year for the best credit pickers, according to Citi’s global credit derivatives outlook -
CLO issuance will temper as market remains in 'exploratory mode', notes BAML research
5 years ago
Following a bout of volatility in the loan market, CLO issuance will be tempered as debt and equity investors rediscover correct pricing levels, according to a new research paper published this week by Bank of America Merrill Lynch -
CLO spread tightening more likely than widening in Q1, says Wells Fargo research
5 years ago
CLO spreads are more likely to move tighter than wider in quarter 1 2019, despite the widening trend accelerating through December, according to Wells Fargo analysts -
Direct lenders pile into "turbocharged" market as fundraising skyrockets: report
6 years ago
Growth in the direct lending market in the 12 months to 31 December was “turbocharged,” growing robustly in the fourth quarter 2017 in particular due to a consistently growing Eurozone economy, according to Deloitte -
Euro SME CLO market to remain at low issuance levels, DBRS predicts
6 years ago
A new report by credit rating agency DBRS says the European securitisation market has much to be positive about in 2018 – but warns that the SME CLO market is expected to remain at low issuance levels -
US mid-market earnings grow 12.8% in Q4 2017, up from 4.9% in Q3
6 years ago
Earnings in the US middle market grew by 12.8% in fourth quarter 2017, while overall revenue grew by 11.5% during September and October 2017, according to a Golub report
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