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Europe sees another round of sovereign downgrades.

Monday, January 30, 2012

Five European countries  had their sovereign credit rating downgraded by Fitch on Friday as the risk of contagion continues to spread through the euro area.

Belgium and Cyrprus both suffered a one notch downgrade from AA+ to AA and BBB to BBB- respectively. Spain and Slovenia  dropped two notches from AA- to A, while Italy also saw its rating fall two notches from A+ to A-.

The countries were placed on rating watch negative in December 2011 in response to the lack of clarity in the structure of an economically reformed euro zone, the risk of a liquidity and solvency crisis and the lack of a credible firewall to prevent contagion, according to the agency.

Ireland was not downgraded despite being in the same review. Fitch points to the strong political support for the country's fiscal consolidation plan and the current BBB+ rating for Ireland already factoring in liquidity issues.  


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Comment by: Anonymous. Posted 3 months ago

The lower ones are all still too high given their dependence on the ECB, IMF and other sovereigns for liquidity and perhaps solvency. These ratings imply it is 99% certain they will get the support they need on an ongoing basis, whereas most rational market participants would put the chances as "high but not a certainty under all scenarios" and certainly less than 99% if they had to quantify the probabilities

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CFlux secondary 
CLO index levels:

Index
21 May
CFlux USD AAA  ↑ 96.2
CFlux USD AA  ↑

88.3

CFlux USD A  ↓ 84.1
CFlux USD BBB  ↓ 75.3
CFlux USD BB  ↓

74.1

CFlux USD EQ  ↑ 77.5

 

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