Trading

Protection sellers will benefit from structural changes, says JP Morgan

Monday, March 9, 2009

In latest fixed income research, JP Morgan views structural changes in the credit default swap market positively, indicating they address legacy contract issues and create a fungible market that is better designed for large trading volumes.

Sellers of protection will benefit in three ways, say analysts. First, sellers will benefit from receiving points upfront on investment grade names. This will ease capital concerns. Second, the risk of unexpected contract triggers is removed by the introduction of short windows for credit event and succession event lookbacks. Third, 'no restructuring' means contracts will be bond-like and have less uncertainty.

Credit events for different CDS contracts (as of 4 March 2009)

 USEuropeAsia
IG single names
IG indices
HY single names
HY indices
Bankruptcy
Failure to pay
Bankruptcy
Failure to pay
Modified modified restructuring
Bankruptcy
Failure to pay
Restructuring
LCDS single name
LCDS indices
Bankruptcy
Failure to pay
Bankruptcy
Failure to pay
Modified restructuring
-
Sovereign CDS - Failure to pay
Repudiation/Moratorium
Restructuring
Failure to pay
Repudiation/Moratorium
Restructuring
Muni CDS Failure to pay
Old restructuring
- -

<< END >>

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CLO index levels:

Index
21 May
CFlux USD AAA  ↑ 96.2
CFlux USD AA  ↑

88.3

CFlux USD A  ↓ 84.1
CFlux USD BBB  ↓ 75.3
CFlux USD BB  ↓

74.1

CFlux USD EQ  ↑ 77.5

 

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