Structured

Lehman default hit CSOs hardest, says Standard & Poor's

Thursday, January 7, 2010

The Lehman Brothers credit event has had by far the biggest impact on CSOs, according to a new report by Standard & Poor’s. The rating agency assessed the incidence and severity of different corporate and sovereign credit events among the 961 synthetic CDOs rated by it New York office.

It found that although Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are referenced in a large proportion of deals, the impact of these two credit events is relatively small given their high recoveries. Other names, such as by Lyondell and Smurfit-Stone, are less widely referenced in the CSO market. But given the low recoveries on these credits, their default had a relatively big impact.

However, Lehman Brothers - and to a lesser extent Washington Mutual and the Icelandic banks – hit CSOs hard because they are both widely referenced and had low recoveries.

Credit events since 2008 with most impact on CSOs


% expected loss
Lehman Brothers 0.514
CIT 0.214
Kaupthing 0.202
Abitibi-Consolidated 0.192
Tribune 0.183
Washington Mutual 0.179
General Motors 0.176
Syncora 0.174
Bowater 0.155
Visteon 0.153

Source: Standard & Poor's

Credit events most widely referenced in CSOs


instances
CIT 644
Lehman Brothers 541
Fannie Mae 515
Freddie Mac 453
Washington Mutual 401
Kaupthing 208
Syncora 197
Thomson 196
General Motors 193
Abitibi-Consolidated 191

Source: Standard & Poor's


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