Issuers

Double A corporates are a safe haven in a storm, says RBC

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Investors should buy double A corporate bonds as a safe haven in the current stormy markets, says RBC in a research note this morning. With investors switching out of equities, high yield credit, commodities and government bonds, they face a problem in figuring out where to put their money. The typical 3-5% yields on well capitalised corporates are an attractive alternative to cash, say the researchers.

For example, 10-year Walmart bonds yield 3.1%, while a longer-dated investment in Pfizer 2024 paper would produce a 3.8% yield. In Europe, EDF 20-year bonds carry a 5% yield. The bank calculates that the 10 corporates in its US double A basket have combined cash of $170 billion and face redemptions in the next two years of just $48 billion.

The main risk in this group of credits is the prospect of M&A activity, which could weak credit metrics, notes the report.


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Comment by: Anonymous. Posted 9 months ago

I agree Walmart is not a default risk in the next 10 years, but does an investor really want to lock in 3.1% yield over this time period? We all hope markets do recover. When they do, rates need to rise and a AA bond paying 3% fixed in USD will fall in value. It's just a matter of how long the current nightmare continues. I say go long WMT equity and short the debt!

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CFlux secondary 
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Index
21 May
CFlux USD AAA  ↑ 96.2
CFlux USD AA  ↑

88.3

CFlux USD A  ↓ 84.1
CFlux USD BBB  ↓ 75.3
CFlux USD BB  ↓

74.1

CFlux USD EQ  ↑ 77.5

 

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