Issuers

Single name curves remain at record inversion, says JP Morgan

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

In its 30 January credit strategy piece, JP Morgan observes that both high grade and and high yield curves remain at their most inverted levels, and are expected to remain so. However, regression analysis suggests the current 10-year-five-year curve is too inverted given the 5Y average spread of 2000bp.

According to JP Morgan's figures for last week, high-grade 10-year to five-year CDS remained flat on the week at -28 basis points, while high-yield curves steepened moderately to -392bp.

Steepest and flattest single name CDS credit curves

SteepestTicker5y CDS sprd10y CDS sprd1 wk chgOpportunityHG/HY
New Plan Excel Rlty NXL 5000 5000 0 750 HY
Clear Channel CCU 5442 5204 -238 117 HY
Station Casinos STN 10802 9662 -1074 583 HY
American Axle AXL 6150 5765 120 551 HY
Idearc IAR 19249 16485 0 520 HY
Flattest
Visteon VC 15679 12158 -1927 -917 HY
GM GM 8541 6436 182 -770 HY
Chemtura CEM 5500 4125 -224 -544 HY
Ford Motor F 5894 4561 100 -438 HY
Genworth Financial GNW 3000 2130 42 -437 HG

<< END >>

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CFlux secondary 
CLO index levels:

Index
6 Feb
CFlux USD AAA  ↑ 94.9
CFlux USD AA  ↓ 81.3
CFlux USD A  ↓ 75.0
CFlux USD BBB  ↑ 74.8
CFlux USD BB  ↑

72.1

CFlux USD EQ  ↑ 67.6

 

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