Hedge funds will typically look to switch prime brokers when their provider’s senior credit default swap spreads hit 400 basis points, according to a survey by research firm Aksia published today. Around 50% of managers have explicit triggers at which they will look to replace prime brokers with other counterparties, and these are typically set at around this level – one which a number of major dealers are now approaching.
The survey of mainly long-short equity and event-driven hedge funds also asked managers’ views on the likelihood of a default by Spain or Italy. A majority of managers, 53%, believe that a default or restructuring by one of these sovereigns is unlikely, while 41% think it is a real possibility. Perhaps more surprising is that 4% believe there is no possibility of an Italian or Spanish default or restructuring.


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I am VERY surprised that hedge funds are so complacent to imagine that a CDS trigger at 400 bps is appropriate. Have they forgotten Lehman?!